Global trade could fall by 20% this year, in a baseline scenario that involves a U-shaped economic recovery of global economies, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG). In this scenario, the return to 2019, when trade totaling $ 18 trillion globally, is expected only in 2023. Thus, the COVID-19 pandemic is responsible for probably the most the great shock of international trade since the Great Depression of 1929-1933.
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